2008年house,townhouse房价还能继续涨吗?
 

:redface: 不知2008年房市:tired: :xizao: 怎么走?

讨论这个没意义，真的，没人知道.关键是量力而行。另外，别因为这个造成家庭矛盾。
good luck

location,房子的年龄,现在该地区的房价等等都有关系.
想买就买吧

稳中有升

真知灼见还是自我安慰？
 

楼上几位移看就是买了房子的。就像中国股市，重仓的人都在说2008没问题！

不是自我安慰，自从07年10月到现在，我这附近的房价狂涨了1.5-2万左右，以前从没试过涨这么多。

另外据最近1-2个月换房子的朋友说，房子基本都有4-5家在抢。旧房LISTING不到1周就卖掉了，而且成交价都超过LISTING价格。

由此预见，08年房价不会突然掉，也不会到顶。

涨跌无意义，只需考虑：
 

1。你十分需要买吗？租不行吗？
2。如需要，就买自己买得起的房子。即房价不高于家庭年收入的三倍，最多四倍。如果手中有钱，这个比例可能扩大。
3。买了之后，涨了当然好。下跌也无妨，只要你供得起。

关键字：necessity, utility, affordability

房市不好跟股市比,从我留心房价开始没见它跌过,这几年很多人都说都顶了到顶了,结果涨得更凶

那意思就是该买就买吧,不管涨跌!
 

:redface: :tongue:

稳中有跌，下跌约4.5%

参见加拿大最大地产经纪公司LE PAR..对2008的预测，如有人有异议请与此公司抬杠。

嗯嗯，有道理~~~

多伦多2006年的平均房价计算通货膨胀后仍远远低于1989年的水平. 当然这有很多因素, 但我个人认为, 房子就是为了住的. 住的舒服, 供得起就完了. 靠房子挣钱, 除非是买了装修然后立刻卖, 不然不是很靠得住.

如果LD已经骗到手了, 又觉得住没窗户的地下室挺舒服的, 就大可不必买房. :belial:

就是因为住apartment不合适,才要买的!
 

:redface:

Only after Apr & May, you can see the trend. It is too early to forecast now.

现在冬天买,比夏天便宜些!
 

:redface:

good!:biggrin:

历来是多数人都是看错的。看看新屋的销售情况就知道了，这里不象国内，炒房的应该很少。

关键是移民不断进来,尤其是大陆人和阿差!
 

:tired:

要注意最近涨得快, 是因为大家都想避开新的税, 并不等于08年会增长. 等这阵风过了, 就知道涨跌了.

Let's try to imagine how the TAX influence the market(For example Toronto):

STAGE 1--NOV&DEC-2007
Some people decided to buy the house before Jan-2008; The record and price increased;

STAGE 2--Q1-2008
For the first 2 months, most people would wait and see, so the record would be drop down, but the price should keep the same; (Both buyer & Seller want to wait)
And then after 2 months, Value<40W houses would be hot, some houses original 33-35W, increased to 38-39W;
40W<Value<45W houses: hard to sell, but list price would not drop down immediately; However, the buyer should have more room for negotiation;
Value>50W: Keep hot, because the tax for rich people mean nothing, especially for second buyer, they already earned money from their first house sold in 2007.

STAGE 3-Q2&Q3-2008
40W<Value<45W houses: becasue list for long time, some houses price down to 38-39W; Compared the orignal Value 33-35W, but increased to 38-39W houses, of course the orignal Value >40W houses better, so some 38-39W houses price drop down back to 33-35W or lower;

STAGE 4-Q4-2008
People are already comfortable and accept the TAX, the price and record would increase again, but slightly; Considering Oil price & Exchange rate, maybe drop down, also slightly;

For summarize my opinion:
Freehold or low maintenance fee Townhouse would be hot( for immigrants & first buyer)
Condo might keep hot (depends on the maintenance fee);
>50W house still hot (Second buyers);
for 30-50W houses, might drop down slightly but depends on individual case, negotiation is more important than before.