fo.v 好像刚好苏醒

[wz111]

作者: ike

作者：[美]奥利弗·瓦莱士（Oliver Velez）
---


　　
　

谢谢老大! 没读过这本书. 能否三言两语赐教点精华的东西?

[一片天]

见老大置顶的文章。
我瞎猜一下，他想告诉你：“交易大师学会等待股票朝理想的方向运行之后，再用他们的全部力量扑向它。不是说交易大师买得晚，而是该说他们买得聪明，他们对猜测和赌博不感兴趣。他们知道跳上一列已经开始向获利的方向移动的火车远比在那些他们认为最终能够向理想方向运行的火车上碰运气要明智。”

[不好意思]

象掉了线的风筝，差点就被他给害了？

[wz111]

作者: 不好意思

象掉了线的风筝，差点就被他给害了？

测试还得延期.

RBC连续6天抛售, BMO也加入其中, 今天中午的RobTV说fo的价位太高, 他们开始short.

我觉得公司的基本面仍然没有变坏, 所以一股都还没卖. 不过我的自信心已经开始降低. 我还想再观察观察才决定采取什么样的行动.

[wz111]

MGI是FO最大的庄家, 看他近几天的表现, 一直在不停的吸货, 所以我想作为长线投资, 可以不在乎目前的波动.

House Positions 9/12/2006

Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 14 ITG 202,731 733,844 3.62 0 202,731 -733,844

V 5 Penson 268,300 940,850 3.51 83,000 284,578 3.43 185,300 -656,272

V 85 Scotia 242,935 834,428 3.43 74,400 252,254 3.39 168,535 -582,174

V 79 CIBC 224,040 776,519 3.47 83,700 285,185 3.41 140,340 -491,334

V 7 TD Sec 636,100 2,190,926 3.44 495,850 1,702,444 3.43 140,250 -488,482

V 75 MGI 539,050 1,850,567 3.43 427,188 1,473,191 3.45 111,862 -377,376



House Positions 9/11/2006
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 19 Desjardins 139,000 522,063 3.76 7,500 28,081 3.74 131,500 -493,982

V 7 TD Sec 229,420 862,267 3.76 133,440 502,454 3.77 95,980 -359,813

V 6 Union 88,000 330,567 3.76 415 1,584 3.82 87,585 -328,983

V 75 MGI 136,500 512,085 3.75 82,700 311,055 3.76 53,800 -201,030



House Positions 9/8/2006
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 11 Orion 300,000 1,192,527 3.98 0 300,000 -1,192,527

V 6 Union 120,760 476,619 3.95 684 2,752 4.02 120,076 -473,867

V 27 Dundee 119,286 470,381 3.94 10,000 39,700 3.97 109,286 -430,681

V 75 MGI 181,300 713,046 3.93 94,300 372,404 3.95 87,000 -340,642

V 7 TD Sec 210,725 834,228 3.96 138,860 549,519 3.96 71,865 -284,709

V 67 Northern 63,300 251,707 3.98 0 63,300 -251,707

V 33 Canaccord 78,817 316,404 4.01 40,200 158,571 3.94 38,617 -157,833



House Positions 9/7/2006
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 27 Dundee 235,000 958,933 4.08 111,000 450,270 4.06 124,000 -508,663

V 75 MGI 205,500 842,447 4.10 120,000 493,950 4.12 85,500 -348,497

V 67 Northern 40,800 166,802 4.09 0 40,800 -166,802



House Positions 9/5/2006
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 33 Canaccord 646,800 2,671,394 4.13 184,750 764,938 4.14 462,050 -1,906,456

V 75 MGI 310,500 1,291,370 4.16 185,888 766,465 4.12 124,612 -524,905

V 46 Blackmont 64,000 267,235 4.18 0 64,000 -267,235

V 80 National Bank 113,500 470,703 4.15 51,500 215,488 4.18 62,000 -255,215



House Positions 9/1/2006
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 19 Desjardins 310,175 1,246,016 4.02 10,500 42,250 4.02 299,675 -1,203,766

V 85 Scotia 37,700 150,274 3.99 1,000 4,040 4.04 36,700 -146,234

V 67 Northern 28,900 115,172 3.99 4,800 18,945 3.95 24,100 -96,227

V 75 MGI 5,500 21,920 3.99 6,300 25,515 4.05 -800 3,595



House Positions 8/31/2006
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 89 Raymond James 421,500 1,699,127 4.03 7,000 28,430 4.06 414,500 -1,670,697

V 75 MGI 361,000 1,446,116 4.01 156,000 625,500 4.01 205,000 -820,616

V 79 CIBC 71,000 284,540 4.01 20,700 82,815 4.00 50,300 -201,725

V 15 UBS 44,000 175,800 4.00 50 200 4.00 43,950 -175,600

[SOLDISGOOD]

Hi Mr. W,

Could you please tell us where you got the above info(house position)?

Thanks!

[wz111]

作者: SOLDISGOOD

Hi Mr. W,

Could you please tell us where you got the above info(house position)?

Thanks!

House positions are from stockwatch.
They have a 30day free subscription.
http://www.stockwatch.com/

我没有用这个服务, 借用了别人post的信息. 今天的情况:

House Positions 9/13/2006

Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 75 MGI 238,600 866,002 3.63 59,000 215,850 3.66 179,600 -650,152

V 85 Scotia 49,050 177,092 3.61 2,000 7,190 3.60 47,050 -169,902

V 2 RBC 89,600 322,307 3.60 47,350 171,572 3.62 42,250 -150,735

V 27 Dundee 61,075 220,079 3.60 19,100 70,555 3.69 41,975 -149,524

[多伦多的云]

作者: wz111

测试还得延期.

RBC连续6天抛售, BMO也加入其中, 今天中午的RobTV说fo的价位太高, 他们开始short.

我觉得公司的基本面仍然没有变坏, 所以一股都还没卖. 不过我的自信心已经开始降低. 我还想再观察观察才决定采取什么样的行动.

w 先生，你真的要注意点了哦，FO 的风险真的是比较大的。我不知道你看不看57 频道，是个股评的频道，在晚上10点左右有个MARKET CALL， 9月13日晚的来宾是 DAVID TAYLOR，Portfolio Manager at Dynamic Funds. 我看了一下，他的主要研究对象是 CANADIAN VALUE STOCKS，这家伙比较厉害。 他的评论很在点。 有个观众打电话问他如何评价FO这支股票，他也说目前在short, 因为 FO MARKET CAP 2 BILLION， 但是甚至都没有正式的 production. 基本的意思就是说，FO 的风险要比同类型的小公司大很多倍。就算正式投产，产值也很容易低于 EXPECTATION。

他还推荐了RAL 和HBM。而且分析也很准确。因此买FO 的朋友真的要注意了，见好就收，别持太久。

[wz111]

作者: 多伦多的云

w 先生，你真的要注意点了哦，FO 的风险真的是比较大的。我不知道你看不看57 频道，是个股评的频道，在晚上10点左右有个MARKET CALL， 9月13日晚的来宾是 DAVID TAYLOR，Portfolio Manager at Dynamic Funds. 我看了一下，他的主要研究对象是 ...

非常谢谢老兄的关心. 我知道 DAVID TAYLOR 在RobTV的评论. "他说目前在short", 我怀疑他是否说的是实话, 很可能他在评论前就已经short了, 发表这样的言论, 目的是引诱更多的抛售和short, 他好从中获利. 由于目前fo的测试一拖再拖, 使得象DAVID TAYLOR这样的基金有机可乘. 尽管如此, fo的下跌空间非常有限, 上涨的空间却非常巨大. 如果2006年底前测试和管道连接及生产许可按计划进行, 本人$14的第一目标仍然有效, 到那时DAVID TAYLOR一定会被烧焦的.

[wz111]

继续观察.

[一片天]

　　美联社报道，上千名反政府示威人员当地时间今天凌晨冲击了首都布达佩斯的国家电视台，要求总理久尔查尼·费兰茨下台。警方向示威者发射了催泪瓦斯，并用水龙头驱逐示威者。示威分子则以石头还击。

　　此前久尔恰尼·费兰茨今年今年5月26日在执政党内部会议上的一段讲话录音17日被媒体公开。久尔恰尼在讲话中承认，为了赢得选举，他领导的社会党政府在经济问题上一直向选民撒谎。

　　“我们从早到晚都在撒谎，”久尔恰尼说，“因为在我们执政的4年里，政府拿不出引以为傲的业绩。如果我们一定要向选民交代我们做了什么事，我们该怎么说？”久尔查尼·费兰茨在讲话录音中说。久尔查尼·费兰茨今年4月领导执政的社会党在国会选举中以微弱优势战胜青民盟，成功连任。

　　讲话录音在网上公开后，匈牙利举国大哗，要求久尔恰尼·费兰茨辞职的呼声骤然高涨。久尔恰尼·费兰茨目前表示自己无意辞职。

　　匈牙利主要反对党称，他们将在今天拒绝出席议会一天。

　　18日，数千名反政府示威人员在布达佩斯议会大楼外静坐。到了晚上，当示威人数增加到1万多人后，数百名示威分子开始骚动起来，向附近的国家电视台行进，要求电视台现场转播一份声明。

　　当绝大多数示威者仍在观望之时，几十人冲破警戒线，闯进了电视台。警方随后想用水龙头驱散示威者，但水车马上被暴动分子推翻。电视台附近的数辆汽车也被点着。

　　匈牙利警方称，暴动分子似乎控制了电视台一层的部分区域，他们正准备将其驱逐，并已命令数千名警察赶往布达佩斯增援。
匈牙利骚乱100多人受伤 其中多数是警察

[PennyMaker]

希望fo不是一个谎言. 要不然会‘fo’很多无辜的投资人。

[wz111]

Talking About a Revolution?
John Horvath 19.09.2006
The moral and political crisis in Hungary deepens, and looks set to only get worse

Fifty years since the Hungarian Revolution of 1956 Hungary finds itself once more in a state of ferment and rebellion. In what was a shock and surprise to most Hungarians getting up in the morning was the news of riots which occurred during the night. Scores were injured, among them many police. Indeed, one policeman is in hospital with life-threatening injuries.


For the past few days, rallies and demonstrations have been staged throughout the country demanding the resignation the government, in particular the prime minister Ferenc Gyurcsany. Over the weekend a tape surfaced in which he said unapologetically that for the past year and a half they have lied to the people and that for the past four years they have done nothing. In addition to this, he ruffled a lot of feathers with his arrogant and strong use of language, referring to the country as "fu**ing Hungary"

Last evening in Budapest, the crowds which had gathered in front of parliament had continued to swell, demanding the resignation of the prime minister. Although it was a large crowd, the demonstration was peaceful.

A group later broke off and headed to the Hungarian State Television building, nearby at Freedom Square. Their supposed intent was to submit a petition which they hoped they would be able to broadcast. When they were refused entry a riot then broke out.

The protesters were able to disarm the police, taking away their batons and other equipment. At one point, one policeman fired warning shots into the air in order to try and protect himself. While it has since been acknowledged by the police that they weren't well prepared for the riots, they point out that they weren't expecting such a large and aggressive crowd in front of the television building.

The police were not only not well prepared, but their equipment was also insufficient and of poor quality. The plexi shields broke too easily, and when they were barricaded inside the building, they had to use furniture and doors in order to protect themselves and try to keep out the protesters.

The protesters ultimately were able to force their way into the building and reached the third floor, destroying equipment and burning furniture. It was only at around 3:00 AM, after about five hours, when the police, with more reinforcements, were able to take back control of the building.

In the end, some 200 were injured in the clashes, more than half of them police. A total of 8 cars were burned, and there was extensive damage to the television building. The justice minister tended his resignation, which was promptly rejected by the prime minister. The police have now totally shut down Freedom Square and the streets leading to it.

Process of regime change?

This was the worst violence since the end of communism. In fact, some protesters at the scene noted that only now is Hungary going through a process of regime change. Indeed, during the riots a small group also attacked the Soviet memorial, attempting to tear down the emblem. For many Hungarians, the notion of a memorial to the "Soviet liberators" in the middle of Freedom Square is too much to bear.

In the wake of the attack on the television building, Hungary's political cultural seems paralyzed and a loss of what to do or how to react. Subsequently, the two major parties have resorted to what they know best: blaming each other for the violence.

It's quite clear that Hungary is now in the grips of both a constitutional and moral crisis. Many have drawn parallels to the events in front of the television building with what happened fifty years ago. Then, as now, a group had gone to Hungarian Radio to have their petition broadcast and were then subsequently shot at by police.

The authorities have been quite aware and the situation in Hungary is explosive, and for this reason the demonstrations and protests up to now have been relatively peaceful as the police have gone out of their way to maintain a low profile and not provoke the crowds. However, in retrospect, by yesterday evening it could seen that something was about to happen. Perhaps with a little more insight, if Hungarian television had allowed for the petition to be broadcast, the violence could have been averted.

In some ways, a chain of events can be traced leading up to the riots. It began earlier in the day when the president publicly declared that although the prime minister had sparked a moral crisis within the country, constitutionally there is nothing he can do about it. In other words, the president's remark was tantamount to simply shrugging his shoulders. This merely added to the frustration that many people felt, that somehow they have been cheated and there was no form of redress.

Later, in the afternoon, at the main demonstration in front of parliament, Maria Wittner gave a speech in which she said that "this is now a revolution." Wittner is a former 1956 freedom fighter herself; a picture of her and another young woman both holding a gun is one the most recollected photos of the 1956 revolution. This speech only fuelled the anger of those who were beginning to feel that "it was now or never", a phrase often quoted from Hungary's leading poet, Sandor Petofi, during the revolution of 1848.

Finally, an ominous warning was issued shortly before the riots by Zoltan Porkolni, a leading member of the main opposition party. During a television interview on Duna TV, he noted that people needed to be careful as provocateurs will indubitably try to disrupt the demonstrations.

For most who have taken part in the protests and demonstrations thus far, their view of the violence of last evening and early this morning was that it was indeed a provoked riot. Most condemn the violence, yet add that the prime minister is ultimately responsible for it all, and therefore must resign.

Although the police have shut down access to Freedom Square and are much more vigilant, the crisis is far from over. Other rallies which were previously planned for the 50th anniversary of the October 1956 revolt will still take place, as well as campaign rallies for the municipal elections which are slated for October 1st. Coupled with this are the demonstrations which were already planned against the governments austerity measures and reform packages. There is also talk of strikes and various forms of non-violent, civil disobedience actions. Cancelling any of these would only fuel the present crisis further.

Hungary is only now coming to terms with its past which had been thus far swept under the rug of economic change and progress. Now that change is abruptly going in another direction, thanks to the "reforms" and austerity measures being introduced, and that the notion of progress has since become questionable, the anger and resentment of the past decade and a half is beginning to surface. With the anniversary of a revolution lingering in the background, what happens next is very uncertain.

[wz111]

Here are all the house positions for V:
FO
for 9/19/2006.



31
Records Returned


House Positions
Exch House Bought $Value Ave Sold $Value Ave Net $Net
V 62 Haywood 108,900 370,990 3.41 0 108,900 -370,990

V 75 MGI 152,300 529,396 3.48 58,000 200,520 3.46 94,300 -328,876

V 5 Penson 86,000 296,247 3.44 6,500 22,915 3.53 79,500 -273,332

V 27 Dundee 74,362 259,469 3.49 17,800 61,588 3.46 56,562 -197,881

V 14 ITG 59,000 205,831 3.49 13,700 47,268 3.45 45,300 -158,563

V 88 E-TRADE 30,100 105,676 3.51 2,850 10,057 3.53 27,250 -95,619

V 46 Blackmont 21,000 71,790 3.42 0 21,000 -71,790

V 80 National Bank 30,500 105,892 3.47 11,100 38,723 3.49 19,400 -67,169

V 67 Northern 12,500 42,850 3.43 0 12,500 -42,850

V 64 Octagon 10,000 35,400 3.54 0 10,000 -35,400

V 83 Research Cap 10,000 34,400 3.44 0 10,000 -34,400

V 19 Desjardins 12,800 43,986 3.44 2,900 10,187 3.51 9,900 -33,799

V 15 UBS 10,000 34,564 3.46 3,000 10,380 3.46 7,000 -24,184

V 89 Raymond James 7,000 24,150 3.45 1,200 4,210 3.51 5,800 -19,940

V 124 Questrade 4,000 13,730 3.43 300 1,056 3.52 3,700 -12,674

V 44 Jones Gable 3,000 10,400 3.47 0 3,000 -10,400

V 81 HSBC 2,000 6,800 3.40 0 2,000 -6,800

V 70 Berkshire 500 1,700 3.40 0 500 -1,700

V 25 Odlum 1,600 5,616 3.51 1,600 5,744 3.59 128

V 57 Interactive 15 53 3.53 400 1,376 3.44 -385 1,323

V 6 Union 148 507 3.43 672 2,363 3.52 -524 1,856

V 54 Global 0 1,000 3,630 3.63 -1,000 3,630

V 59 PI 0 1,500 5,145 3.43 -1,500 5,145

V 85 Scotia 9,310 32,284 3.47 11,100 38,682 3.48 -1,790 6,398

V 68 Leede 0 7,000 24,360 3.48 -7,000 24,360

V 33 Canaccord 10,200 35,245 3.46 39,500 139,387 3.53 -29,300 104,142

V 1 Anonymous 106,200 366,896 3.45 156,600 538,952 3.44 -50,400 172,056

V 9 BMO Nesbitt 46,900 163,816 3.49 111,425 385,666 3.46 -64,525 221,850

V 79 CIBC 34,800 121,741 3.50 119,753 409,670 3.42 -84,953 287,929

V 2 RBC 36,215 127,245 3.51 129,820 448,108 3.45 -93,605 320,863

V 7 TD Sec 77,270 267,820 3.47 258,900 904,507 3.49 -181,630 636,687
Total 956,620 3,314,494 3.46 956,620 3,314,494 3.46 0 0

[newcar]

3 200 ema -- last support!

[SOLDISGOOD]

作者: newcar

3 200 ema -- last support!...

2.95!

[wz111]

今天卖掉了rsg，然后在3的价位继续买入fo。

[风-云]

写个数字1.5

[wz111]

MGI Securities Inc Comment - Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd. – (FO:TSX-V C$2.97)
Resource Assessment Increased – Target Price Raised

Stock Rating: Speculative BUY

Target Price: $8.00 (previously $6.50)

§ Falcon Oil & Gas (TSX-V: FO) has released the results of a new independent resource assessment, which has significantly higher estimates of technically recoverable resources than prior published assessments.

§ We see these new estimates (which incorporate data from recent exploration activities) as a highly encouraging confirmation of management’s interpretation of results gathered from the ongoing exploration campaign. The main reason for the increase in resource assessment is the encouraging results encountered in the deeper horizons drilled in the Mako-6 well.

§ We reiterate our Speculative Buy recommendation on Falcon Oil & Gas with an increased price target of $8.00 (previously $6.50), based on a 1.0x multiple of our updated in-house estimate of future net asset value. We have increased our price target in recognition of independent confirmation and technical details supporting management’s interpretation of highly promising results, which has led us to increase our assumptions regarding potential flow rates. We continue to note that share price weakness in recent weeks presents a buying opportunity. Our target price represents a potential return of 169% from the recent closing price of $2.97.

§ Our recommendation remains speculative, mainly due to the company’s lack of production base or reserves in this formative stage of development. The risk of non-commerciality can only be removed with good flow testing results.

[newcar]

作者: wz111

MGI Securities Inc Comment - Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd. – (FO:TSX-V C$2.97)
Resource Assessment Increased – Target Price Raised

Our recommendation remains speculative, mainly due to the company’s lack of production base or reserves in this formative stage of development. The risk of non-commerciality can only be removed with good flow testing results....

watch their words