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旧 May 25th, 2009, 22:06     #1
waterpool
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默认 【原创】美股新手,实盘操练2009

3月以来发现股市论坛异常活跃,看了一下股市似乎是熊去牛来,股市的春天到来了,我也忍不住手痒痒起来。
再则,近来随着美联储滥发纸币,美元疯狂贬值,似乎通货膨胀就近在眼前了,于是乎投资似乎也就被迫成为了目前唯一可行的选择。尽管目前看来投资股市风险不小,可是不投资又无法逃避随时而至的恶性通胀。
于是,前些日子在SCOTIA BANK开了美股帐户,存进美元5万整。在目前这个不是绝对低,但绝对不算高的点位进场,妄图浑水摸鱼,摸上些许小虾米也行。
准备就绪,明天开始实盘操练,欢迎各位股市大虾不吝赐教。
明天第一笔交易,俗话说:擒贼先擒王!就先拿金融股中的重量级选手富国银行(WFC)开刀祭旗!
此股有巴菲特老头屡次推荐,并且还身体力行真金白银地不断买入并长线持有,甚至老巴头还放言说要百分百收此股入自家囊中!岂可让老巴头独美?!
明日计划以开盘价买入此股1000股整,对于此股短线的回落我将视而不见,同时,将止损设定在23.38元。视乎今后走势对止损位再加以修正调整。
明日,我将即时发表买卖记录。
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旧 May 26th, 2009, 11:32     #2
waterpool
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默认 2005年5月26日,星期二交易记录:

1.开盘24.23元买进WFC,成交1000股,设定止损位23.38元,动用资金24230美元(交易手续费不计);
2.因为非常看好金融股的行情波动,同时动用少量资金进行高风险投机:
(1)0.15元买入C六月份Call@4.00,成交40手,动用资金600美元(交易手续费不计);
(2)0.05元买入C六月份Call@5.00,成交100手,动用资金500美元(交易手续费不计);
以上OPTION不设止损位。
3.合计动用资金25330美元,仓位约50%。
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旧 May 26th, 2009, 11:43     #3
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默认

近期,几个房地产ETF中的URE走势非常活跃,在近期公布的房地产业相关实体经济数据非常糟糕的情况下,URE表现出很强的抗跌性,并且交易非常活跃,筑底迹象非常明显。客观上判断,房地产产业即将复苏。
我想,行情必定是有人先知先觉,且看未来几个月的地产业相关实体经济数据吧。

今天上午,科技股引领美股大幅反弹,相信会带动人气,积极参与。我相信,必定是科技股率先走出经济衰退,我会观察AAPL,GOOG,CSCO等重量级科技股的后续走势。
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旧 May 26th, 2009, 12:44     #4
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默认

引用:
作者: s0jv 查看帖子
请问地产股都有什么股票, 能够告知一两个,谢谢
抱歉啊,对于地产类个股,我没有什么研究,平时主要关注地产类ETF作为研究美股走向的参考因素之一,URE/SRS分别是房地产双倍看多/看空ETF。

这里有个网站的链接,或许能够帮助你做一些基本的检索查询:
http://www.chineseworldnet.com/scripts/front.asp
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旧 May 26th, 2009, 13:13     #5
waterpool
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默认

根据行情的发展,将WFC的止损位提高到25.18。
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旧 May 26th, 2009, 16:19     #6
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默认 2005年5月26日,星期二收盘记录:

A.持仓情况:
1.WFC:1000股,收盘价25.65元,市值25650美元;
2.OPTION:
(1)六月C@4.00 Call:40手,收盘价0.15元,市值600美元;
(2)六月C@5.00 Call:100手,收盘价0.03元,市值300美元;
3.CASH:24670美元;

B.总市值:51220美元;
C.浮动盈利:1220美元;
D.浮动收益率:2.44%;
E.持仓比率:51.8%;
F.年收益率展望:33.5%。
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旧 May 26th, 2009, 17:04     #7
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默认

美国10年期国债收益率3.54%,上升0.1个百分点;
美元指数80.17,小幅上升;
欧元/日元汇率132.79,在连续近一周反弹后震荡回落,振幅加大。根据欧元/日元汇率波动方向和波动率推测明天盘面可能会大幅震荡。
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旧 May 27th, 2009, 00:55     #8
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默认

我今天之所以买C的CALL,其实在银行股里面中短线我最不看好的就是C,这恰恰是我买他的原因之一;原因之二是听到一些谣传,只是动用了2.2%的资金碰下运气而已。
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旧 May 27th, 2009, 01:35     #9
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默认 2005年5月27日,星期三操作计划:

以目前行情的走势,在没有有效突破930的前期高点之前,设定止损位,在875~930的箱体内保持半仓操作,在没有有效跌破875的支撑位之前,不做空。
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旧 May 27th, 2009, 10:04     #10
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默认 2005年5月27日,星期三交易记录:

开盘后WFC果然大幅震荡,触发25.18的止损位,卖出成交价25.17,成交1000股。
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旧 May 27th, 2009, 12:58     #11
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默认 2005年5月27日,星期三操作计划:

目前,昨天买入的C的六月CALL@4.00,40手,@5.00,100手继续拿着看看;
WFC上午已经触发止损,账户现金49850美元。

继续观察WFC的走势。
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旧 May 27th, 2009, 16:33     #12
waterpool
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默认 2009年5月27日,星期三收盘记录:

A.持仓情况:
1.OPTION:
(1)六月C@4.00 Call:40手,收盘价0.12元,市值480美元;
(2)六月C@5.00 Call:100手,收盘价0.04元,市值400美元;
2.CASH:49850美元;

B.总市值:50730美元;
C.浮动盈利:730美元;
D.浮动收益率:1.46%;
E.持仓比率:1.73%;
F.年收益率展望:19%。
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旧 May 27th, 2009, 17:17     #13
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默认 2005年5月28日,星期四操作计划:

目前采取的操作策略仍然是,在没有有效突破930的前期高点之前,设定止损位,在875~930的箱体内保持半仓操作,在没有有效跌破875的支撑位之前,不做空。

星期四计划WFC在23.2元附近埋地雷(逢低买入)1100股。

另外,今天的回调很可能是由于今天350亿美元5年期国债标购,大基金、机构等借此机会洗盘,所以明天仍然看涨,但我不会追涨的。
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旧 May 28th, 2009, 11:49     #14
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默认

今天WFC早盘最低下探到23.22元,比我预先埋下的地雷23.20元高出0.02元,地雷还没有引爆。
目前我的策略是继续观望下。我不会追高,即使错过行情。
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感谢 waterpool
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naka (May 28th, 2009)
旧 May 28th, 2009, 12:24     #15
waterpool
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默认

今天之所以把地雷埋在了23.20元,比目前WFC最低价高出2分钱,其实这并不是一个精确到分的计算,只是一个大概的估算。
WFC目前的行情是最典型的200天均线行情,在2009年5月6日第一次突破200天均线以后开始反复震荡,走出下降楔形的强势整理行情,这个走势是非常强劲的,如果走成,后市会有极大的升幅。不过,过程会是比较漫长难熬的,高低点都在逐步下移,一般会这样走20天到一个月的时间,是对耐心的极大考验。
在WFC的日K线图中上下轨迹线还算比较清晰的,所以,23.20元就是今天大概估算出来的下轨位置,但还是不太精确。
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旧 May 28th, 2009, 12:32     #16
waterpool
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默认

根据30分钟K线图的技术指标预示,今天可能在23.5左右还有买入的机会。
其实,今天我也不急着买,下周或许在22块多还有更好机会。
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旧 May 28th, 2009, 13:14     #17
waterpool
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默认

引用:
作者: sludgegine 查看帖子
LZ是个用心做事之人,再顶一下,并祝LZ有个好收成。同时提醒LZ一下哈:要准备一个质量好的钢盔哈,用不了多久,砖头就要来了。这里有些‘专家’是泥瓦匠出身的,好拍砖哈。
哈哈,没得关系,“顶砖冒瓦,奋勇向前(钱)!”
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旧 May 28th, 2009, 16:24     #18
waterpool
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默认 2009年5月28日,星期四收盘记录:

A.持仓情况:
1.OPTION:
(1)六月C@4.00 Call:40手,收盘价0.14元,市值560美元;
(2)六月C@5.00 Call:100手,收盘价0.04元,市值400美元;
2.CASH:49850美元;

B.总市值:50810美元;
C.浮动盈利:810美元;
D.浮动收益率:1.62%;
E.持仓比率:1.89%;
F.年收益率展望:21%。
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dunai2004 (May 28th, 2009), 好望角之约 (May 28th, 2009)
旧 May 28th, 2009, 23:20     #19
waterpool
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默认 2005年5月29日,星期五操作计划:

目前采取的操作策略仍然是,在没有有效突破930的前期高点之前,设定止损位,在875~930的箱体内保持半仓操作,在没有有效跌破875的支撑位之前,不做空。

星期五是本周最后一个交易日,同时又是5月的最后一个交易日,明日的行情或许会非常微妙,操作计划基本上延续星期四的操作策略,在23.0元埋地雷买入1100股WFC。
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rickhorn (May 29th, 2009), 好望角之约 (May 30th, 2009)
旧 May 29th, 2009, 16:43     #20
waterpool
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默认 2009年5月29日,星期五收盘记录:

A.持仓情况:
1.OPTION:
(1)六月C@4.00 Call:40手,收盘价0.13元,市值520美元;
(2)六月C@5.00 Call:100手,收盘价0.05元,市值500美元;
2.CASH:49850美元;

B.总市值:50870美元;
C.浮动盈利:870美元;
D.浮动收益率:1.74%;
E.持仓比率:1.71%;
F.年收益率展望:23%。

G.本周总结:SP500本周上涨3.6%,浮动收益率周平均落后SP500指数1.89%;
H.本月总结:SP500本月上涨5.3%,浮动收益率月平均落后SP500指数3.56%。

I.投资起点SP500指数910.33;
J.累积至今日SP500指数919.14,区间指数上涨0.97%;
K.累积至今日浮动收益率1.74%,累积跑赢SP500指数0.77%;
L.记录日期:2009年5月29日。

此帖于 May 29th, 2009 19:33 被 waterpool 编辑。
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