Feb 2nd, 2012, 10:55 | 只看该作者 #49 |
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Groundhog Day Today is Groundhog Day. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groundhog_Day Groundhog Day is a holiday celebrated on February 2 in the United States and Canada. According to folklore, if it is cloudy when a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day then spring will come early. If it is sunny, the groundhog will supposedly see its shadow and retreat back into its burrow, and the winter weather will continue for six more weeks. 今天这里阳光明媚,土拨鼠们会继续回洞躲藏。 我因为去年年底提前布局,春天已经提早来临。 |
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Feb 3rd, 2012, 14:18 | 只看该作者 #50 | |
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该交作业啦,介绍一个概念先: "MLP" http://www.wikinvest.com/wiki/Master...rtnership_(MLP) MLPs are not like regular corporations and do not get taxed on income. Instead they tend to return most of their income (typically 85 to 90%) to investors or partners through quarterly distributions. This shifts the tax responsibility to the partners, who are taxed at their ordinary income rates. Since ordinary income rates of investors are typically lower than the income tax rates of corporations, this proves to be advantageous to the MLPs and hence their investors. A Master Limited Partnership (MLP) combines the tax benefits of a limited partnership with the advantages of a publicly-traded company. When you compare that rate against the rate you paid for your 2007 personal income, the tax advantages of MLPs are laid out in sharp relief. Limited partners are only liable for the amount they've invested, unlike general partners who have unlimited personal liability. Limited partners invest capital and then receive the tax benefit of a personal income tax deduction for part of the loss during the development stages of the partnership when the costs exceed any revenues. Limited partnerships are common when businesses are in development stages, but MLPs are unique in that their units are traded publicly like stock, creating much more liquidity for investors. 这类公司有个共同的特点: The performance of companies in the energy infrastructure industry is not highly correlated with the price of oil and other types of energy, but rather with the demand for energy. The demand for energy is far less volatile than commodity energy prices and generally increases steadily over time, resulting in steady, predictable cash flows for companies in these industries. 这个族群里: 头牌是EPD:市值最大。 最有明星范儿的是KMP:经常出现在JIM CRAMER的MAD MONEY节目里. 前几天发季报表现不好,跌了几天,机会有如白驹过隙,稍纵即逝。 最生猛的是OKS:去年涨幅40%,还不算分红4.2%, 只是成交量小点儿。 延伸阅读: http://seekingalpha.com/article/3194...l-and-gas-mlps 不过... 且听下回分解吧 |
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Feb 6th, 2012, 09:31 | 只看该作者 #52 |
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上周发生了一个标志性的事件:稻子创了4年新高,可是我感觉确是不妙。 原因有很多: 1 股指创新高,调整也快来了(个人经验而已) 2 加币悄悄的超过美金了(这个情况不会持续很长时间:如2008-2009,加币曾涨到1.3,结果大的经济危机来临;去年曾一度持平,结果市场打了个喷嚏...) 3 VIX & VXX指数也告诉我们市场很快就会拐了。 不管怎样,还是小心为上。 转一个: February 5, 2012 The S&P was up 4.4% in January, the best January performance since 1997. Since 1950, January gains of 4% or more resulted in an average full year gain of 15%. The strong January Barometer (as January goes, so goes the year) follows a positive Santa Claus Rally and First Five January Days indicator. According to Stock Trader’s Almanac, this trifecta has occurred 27 times since 1960. Full year gains followed 92.3% of the time. Statistically, there’s a 92.3% chance that 2012 will be an up year with gains expected to be around 15%. Although not supported by historical stats, my outlook for U.S. stocks is much less bullish. The challenge today, as was last year, will be to balance the up side potential of a liquidity and momentum driven market with the understated down side risk of an over extended market Friday’s gains turned trend following technicals positive and gave this rally an air of legitimacy. Trading volume was elevated (905 million shares, which is still low but higher than average) and prices pushed above resistance at 1,325 – 1330. While it is not prudent to bet against trend following technicals, we know that trend following indicators can be treacherous as they often turn positive at the worst of times. |
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Feb 6th, 2012, 13:16 | 只看该作者 #53 |
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周末时,想到一个问题:facebook上市,除了renn,还有微博大佬sina会受益,是不是在仓位里加点儿? 结果今天早晨招到当头棒喝:sohu出季报后大跌,连带玩搜索引擎的bidu,sina下跌。 查了一下,sina在本月27日发Q4,还是静观为妙。 不过sina的52wk Range: 46.86 - 147.12,现在价格71, reward/risk ratio=3.16 很是让人眼馋 |
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感谢 tickerfinder 此篇文章之用户: |
m&m (Feb 6th, 2012) |
Feb 6th, 2012, 17:27 | 只看该作者 #54 |
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FILL THE GAP 还没搜索到我要说的这种dayt trading的一个技巧,即使是在著名的stockchart.com的网站上。 http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...nd_gap_analysi 我要说的跟他们说的是两码事,让我用中文解释一下: 就是一只股票在上升通道过程中,某天早盘开盘突然gap down,但当天股价收复失地,甚至更高。 今天yoku的走势又一次完美的演绎了这个day trading的神话,不愧我以前对高盛这个庄稼的分析。 YOKU前收24.18,不知何故晨开22.49,收盘24.73,全天震幅近10%。 另外QIHU受消息影响: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...tml?cmpid=yhoo QIHU前收19.05,晨开17.78,下跌6.6%。最低16.78,收盘17.89,如果哪位盘中海底捞,最大也可6.6%。从最低16.78到收盘17.89到前收19.05,QIHU已经收复一半失地。按照这个速度,明天就会过19快了. 我在暗笑今天斩仓出局的过几天肯定肠子都会悔青了。。。 YOKU/QIHU,你们两个比翼齐彪吧 |
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Feb 6th, 2012, 19:57 | 只看该作者 #55 |
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书接上文,MLP是很值得关注的一个板块,不过我并没有仓位。 因为没有弄懂,也没有兴趣研究,它对加拿大的税务有何影响或是没有影响。那位税务专家给解释一下,我也跪求一把。 其实这不是主要原因,而是我发现了波动/振幅更小(LOW BETA)的 ENB.TO 两年前,在我开始研究TSX60时就知道了ENB,只是那时我好高骛远,好大喜功,叶公好龙...一门心思研究油股票:http://www.chinasmile.net/forums/sho...833&highlight= “众里寻他千百度,蓦然回首,那人却在灯火阑珊处”,直到我看到这篇文章方翻然悔悟: A Performance Review of 7 U.S.-Traded Canadian Oil & Gas Equities http://seekingalpha.com/article/3140...l-gas-equities 深入研究才发现,在2009年的经济危机时,只下跌了15%,去年8月有次10%左右的下跌也只是因为管线泄漏。相比其他的加拿大管线公司如想铺KEYSTONE的TRP.TO表现更是不俗。得了就是它了: 过了圣诞节,用一个FULL SERVICE的账号:01/06/2012,成本37.760,服务费1.3%。 现在已经浮出水面, 有了ENB,可以睡到自然醒 |
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Feb 7th, 2012, 08:27 | 只看该作者 #56 |
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感谢 montrealcc 此篇文章之用户: |
tickerfinder (Feb 7th, 2012) |
Feb 7th, 2012, 09:29 | 只看该作者 #57 |
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早晨好,谢谢你TICKER。是的,你说的对。 在第一页的第一贴,我比较了一些美国的DOLLAR店,现在把DOL.TO加入后得到的是同样的结论:由于一些公司只有两年多的上市历史,就把时间轴设定在2yrs。发现DLTR表现最佳+170%,DOL.TO是+110%。 http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?...rce=undefined; 另外DOL.TO的日成交量只在100K左右,偏小,不符合我的选股原则。我还是把精力放在DLTR上。再次感谢。 |
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Feb 8th, 2012, 09:10 | 只看该作者 #58 |
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Qihoo 360's Mobile Apps Back on Apple's iTunes App Store BEIJING, Feb. 8, 2012 /PRNewswire-Asia/ -- Qihoo 360 Technology Co. Ltd. ("Qihoo 360" or the "Company," NYSE: QIHU), a leading Internet company in China as measured by active user base, today announced that all of its mobile applications for iOS were back on Apple's iTunes App Store as of 11:00am, February 8, 2012, Beijing Time (10:00pm, February 7, 2012, EST). These applications were taken offline by Apple from its iTunes App Store on February 4, 2012 due to unusual user rating activities by unknown sources on certain Qihoo 360 applications. The Company directly contacted Apple officials in the United States on February 6, 2012 and resolved the issue. Apple started the process of reinstating Qihoo 360's mobile applications shortly thereafter. The Company was not asked to modify any of these applications. "We are very pleased to resolve the issue with Apple and have all of our iOS mobile applications quickly back on the iTunes App Store without any need for modification," commented Mr. Hongyi Zhou, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Qihoo 360. "We offer well-designed iOS mobile applications that satisfy users' demand and meet all the requirements of the iTunes App Store. Our 360 Mobile Safe for the iPhone and 360 HD Browser for the iPad are testaments to the quality of our products as they continue to gain popularity among Chinese users. We will continue to develop more mobile applications for iOS, Android and other mobile platforms to serve our ever-growing mobile Internet user base." http://ir.360.cn/phoenix.zhtml?c=243...320&highlight= 苹果已经沦为黑社会老大,一个产品下架的消息,让QIHU的股价一天之内最低时跌了12%。投资人也不仔细分析一下,apple app能占QIHU产品线的多大比例,不过是非常好的短线机会。 产品重新上架苹果APP商店 360演绎48小时公关样本: http://www.chinaz.com/news/2012/0208/234396.shtml 看看今天市场如何反映... |
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