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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 08:34     #1
星手
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默认 是泡膜总会破的,5-8月已经跌4万 预测明年还有7%

世界日报:供过于求 房价明年将跌7%?
加拿大房价在8月连续第三个月下跌,一位经济学家甚至预测,由于供过于求,明年房价的跌幅有可能高达7%。

加拿大房地产协会(Canadian Real Estate Association)15 日报告,本国8月平均房价为32万4928元,低于7月的33万351元和6月的34万2662元。

同一天公布的多伦多道明银行(TD Bank)的房地产前景展望报告预测,随著供过于求的状况继续,明年房价跌幅最高可达 7%,如以8月的平均房价计算,即明年房价将再跌约2万3000元。



(加拿大房价今年8月连续第三个月下跌。加通社)

该报告作者、道明银行经济师法兰西丝•冯(Francis Fong)预测,随著明年房屋成交量下降达20%,二手房价格将下跌7%。

然而,加拿大房地产协会的最新报告说,上月房屋销售量减少22%,但平均房价仍与去年同期的32万4834元差不多。该协会又指出,在本国将近三分之二的房地产市场中,房价继续上涨或者维持稳定,这标志著即使房市正在冷却,但整个市场仍是强劲的。

分析师们认为,加拿大房地产市场迅速冷却,是四大原因共同造成的。首先是加拿大两个最重要的房地产市场税制改革,造成卑诗省和安大略省今年 7、8两月购屋者人数大减,进而导致全加房屋成交量比去年同期大跌。第二个原因是联邦政府收紧房贷政策,借钱买房子不再像从前那么方便。第三是房贷利率上涨,尤其是跟随银行优惠利率(prime rate)浮动的可变房贷利率接连上涨。第四就是经济复苏放慢,甚至有陷入二度衰退的危险,从而动摇了消费者信心。

满地可银行(Bank of Montreal,MBO)副首席经济师波特(Douglas Porter)指出,8月新推出求售的房屋数量是成交量的两倍,这清晰说明房市正步向平衡,预期今年房价还会有温和的下降空间。

不过波特强调,加拿大房地产市场没有泡沫破灭的迹象,各种迹象表明房市正在稳定过程中。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 12:51   只看该作者   #2
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默认

星手又来了。星手一来唱衰,房市就要涨了。去年就是这样的。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 14:26   只看该作者   #3
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星手又来了。星手一来唱衰,房市就要涨了。去年就是这样的。
希望如此,泡膜大点更刺激。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 14:28   只看该作者   #4
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默认

跌啊。。。然后大家一起来抢~~~就比现在更高了
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 14:40   只看该作者   #5
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默认

看样子姑娘们又各就各位准备逑个没房的来嫁了
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 15:38   只看该作者   #6
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默认

跌喔,快跌喔,我们都盼着这一天呢。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:06   只看该作者   #7
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跌喔,快跌喔,我们都盼着这一天呢。
还没跌吗?不是已经跌了几万了,不过也看了,中国人卖的房子会比人家贵几万,还是涨。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:25   只看该作者   #8
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默认

现在不是看房价跌了.要看涨.涨利息.能涨到什么时候?什么高度?
通胀时代,要加息.狠狠地加息.(其实也就再加1%,2%,就够狠了).

孱头芦苇山间草,股市卡市2B捣糨糊。反者道之动弱者道之用。宜将胜勇后追穷寇,不可估名学霸王.克强近平.阿根挺大地震.
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:37   只看该作者   #9
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现在不是看房价跌了.要看涨.涨利息.能涨到什么时候?什么高度?
通胀时代,要加息.狠狠地加息.
其实,不加息又怎样?看这房子:
For Sale: $428,000

Building Type : Apartment
Bedrooms : 2 + 1
Bathrooms (Total) : 2
View : View
Title : Condominium/Strata
Location : kennedy/sheppard
TORONTO, ON M1T 3V6

Features : Gym, Exercise room, Balcony Maintenance Fees : $903.68 Monthly
Pool Type : Indoor pool, Outdoor pool View : View

这房子花40多万买了干吗?可以跟当初的美国的媲美了。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:48   只看该作者   #10
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其实,不加息又怎样?看这房子:
For Sale: $428,000

Building Type : Apartment
Bedrooms : 2 + 1
Bathrooms (Total) : 2
View : View
Title : Condominium/Strat...
白送给你要不要?
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:50   只看该作者   #11
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白送给你要不要?
废话。你说这个$903.68 Monthly 后还有别的费用吗?
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:51   只看该作者   #12
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废话。
那你又问买了干吗
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:52   只看该作者   #13
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还没跌吗?不是已经跌了几万了,不过也看了,中国人卖的房子会比人家贵几万,还是涨。
对,跌了啊,但要跌到我要买的那天才有用啊,赶紧接着跌喔
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:54   只看该作者   #14
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那你又问买了干吗
知道下现在的房价有多荒唐。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:56   只看该作者   #15
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对,跌了啊,但要跌到我要买的那天才有用啊,赶紧接着跌喔
房子买了干什么?享受生活,可现在买房子可以吗?当然收入特别高的除外。

现在的房子价格中上等收入的家庭只能买最低水平的房子,中国人可能除外,那样的房子我是不买,让它涨吧?省吃减用几十年,快死发大财。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 16:59   只看该作者   #16
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房子买了干什么?享受生活,可现在买房子可以吗?当然收入特别高的除外。
可不,现在这房子对我来说就是棵葡萄,还特酸。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 17:01   只看该作者   #17
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可不,现在这房子对我来说就是棵葡萄,还特酸。
不就房子吗?我看了后,为买房子的人酸。住得还没我好(相当部分人),几十年背着沉重的负担。将来他们就是房子发财了,我不酸。
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 17:05   只看该作者   #18
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作者: 星手 查看帖子
知道下现在的房价有多荒唐。
还看过一房的condo卖50万管理费壹千的呢,房价有多荒唐也得有人有多荒唐来支持啊
laolee 当前离线  
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 17:09   只看该作者   #19
星手
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默认

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作者: laolee 查看帖子
还看过一房的condo卖50万管理费壹千的呢,房价有多荒唐也得有人有多荒唐来支持啊
没错,要看区和价位,加拿大也有有钱人,他们不在乎钱。而大部分人是有房子住,大点,生活不差就行了。就象大部分人买美国日本车,也有人买宝马等。
星手 当前离线  
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旧 Sep 16th, 2010, 17:09   只看该作者   #20
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默认

太可笑了,还几十年背着沉重包袱,你以为董存瑞背的炸药包阿每月贷款能有多少?楼上说的好,就是个酸葡萄~~~都懒得说你们俩。去年就给你们定义了。每年来一次阿

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