【讨论】Calgary房价还能涨多久 - 第2页

regin · May 15th, 2006, 21:24

一刀故事，那一刀是要接卖方的贷款，不是真正所谓的一刀。

Calgary9981 · May 15th, 2006, 21:47

It will stop when Calgary house price is same as Vancouver's.

肉猪宝 · May 15th, 2006, 21:57

引用:

作者: Calgary9981

It will stop when Calgary house price is same as Vancouver's.

卡城五月份房屋涨势凶猛

Latest Average Selling Price:

Single Family:
May 1st~9th: $392,493
April 1st~30th: $377,352

Combined Residential:
May 1st~9th: $352,730
April 1st~30th: $339,806

little me · May 15th, 2006, 22:17

[QUOTE=糖不苦]前段时间论坛一面倒地谈房价上升，最近开始有降价的声音了...
QUOTE]

good analysis! add $100

Winged Frank · May 15th, 2006, 22:23

这里有一大批房地产经济靠这个吃饭呢，你说在这里能讨论出个什么结果？

卡城浪人 · May 15th, 2006, 22:30

大家看,买卡城哪里区的房子更有升值潜力.

Calgary9981 · May 15th, 2006, 22:35

Anywhere the price will go up. But some area you can't buy it. The price is so high now.

Calgary9981 · May 15th, 2006, 22:39

You can take a look on last Saturday Calgry Herald.
The house market told you what price on each area.

糖不苦 · May 15th, 2006, 23:20

引用:

作者: 平均律

个人认为，5年内不会停止上涨。

别误会，我是最反感炒房的，而且我现在也没房。

任何一次泡沫，持续时间总是比最夸张的估计还要长。日本房产泡沫、香港房产泡沫，基本上都持续近20年。按加拿大当前经济形势，我个人认为房产泡沫持续时间会相当长。

没什么误会之说，别人炒房子，我们这里坎房子，各抒己见而已。
日本、香港房产泡沫除了炒做外，还有个客观因素，就是地少人多。即使这样，董伯伯上台想做点好事，多批了点地，房价一下泻了。
温哥华东面是山，西面是海，缺地，亚省这300多万人口，就算都住在省会以南人均几十亩地也不成问题，什么时候会没地建房？

糖微酸 · May 15th, 2006, 23:24

看来我们这些买不起房子的人是永远买到的了.房子是心里永远底痛.

糖不苦 · May 15th, 2006, 23:34

引用:

作者: 糖微酸

看来我们这些买不起房子的人是永远买到的了.房子是心里永远底痛.

也别太悲观，按自己的承受能力买，要等房价跌会几年前的水平是不大可能的，但涨50%，跌25%还是有可能。接最后一棒比没买的还凄惨。

little me · May 15th, 2006, 23:35

引用:

作者: 糖不苦

第一类，找到工作的，包括前几年就在Calgary没有工作或低收入现在提高收入的，也包括从外地新搬来的（新移民主要看到的是这些），这部分人是真正需要房子的，但这些人的实力有多高？...

Good.
In fact, there are three English words for 要. They are want(想要), need(需要) and demand(需求). Their meanings are quite different when they are applied to market analysis. Just like LZ has already analyzed, Mr. Market is only interested in the real demand.

alf · May 15th, 2006, 23:40

花上三十来万能建个不错的新house，
我就觉得不对头的是现在有的近30年的也不大还要交管理费的townhouse也敢要价28，9万，
这能长久吗。

李大哥 · May 15th, 2006, 23:46

引用:

作者: 糖不苦

也别太悲观，按自己的承受能力买，要等房价跌会几年前的水平是不大可能的，但涨50%，跌25%还是有可能。接最后一棒比没买的还凄惨。

真不知道你们这些人是怎么想的？！

去年25万的房子，现在涨到了40万。去年我忽悠大伙买房子，以小小鸟为首的，就是大谈风险，不让买。还有大春卷（dcj）、大肚皮（belly），在旁边添油加醋，也跟着忽悠，但就是不买；

去年不买，今年更买不起了，40万的房子，25％的首期，要10万。有几个人能拿出10万来？

还等？等到什么时候？等到40万的房子跌回25万再买？可能吗？即使可能，为什么去年不在25万的时候买？

很多builder的地今年都卖完了，今年已经计划不放地了。想买新房还买不着，这房价能跌吗？这房价是开发商、市政府和炒家联合控制的，上涨对他们最有利；下跌对他们都不利。他们能不利用手中的权力、优势来控制房价，让房价上涨吗？开发商就是留着lot不卖，屯积居奇。因此，等跌价，没门。

李大哥 · May 15th, 2006, 23:57

引用:

作者: alf

花上三十来万能建个不错的新house，
我就觉得不对头的是现在有的近30年的也不大还要交管理费的townhouse也敢要价28，9万，
这能长久吗。

老弟你可别逗了！

EXCEL是专门建低价房的，它的房价可以说是比较低的了。但现在最便宜的，不带车库的小房子，也要30万。一般都要做点upgrade，怎么也得再加一万。至少31万。但是，这个价你买得到吗？根本就无法和开发商签合同，没地。只能等，可是，现在每个月涨2万，你等到什么时候？只好逼着你去买二手房。大家都抢二手房，只好加价抢，导致最后成交价高出卖主开价几万。

带前进式双车库的两层的house，最便宜的价格是34.5万。但也是买不到，没地。去年9月份，价格是22万。

premakov · May 16th, 2006, 00:13

1400SF 要价345K. 加上 upgrade 和 deck 就奔360k 了，简直 ridiculous
这种价格绝对不能买了。

引用:

作者: 李大哥

老弟你可别逗了！

EXCEL是专门建低价房的，它的房价可以说是比较低的了。但现在最便宜的，不带车库的小房子，也要30万。一般都要做点upgrade，怎么也得再加一万。至少31万。但是，这个价你买得到吗？根本就无法和开发商签合同，没地。只能等，可是，现在每个月涨2万，你等到什么时候？只好逼着你去买二...

tgb2000 · May 16th, 2006, 00:16

引用:

作者: 糖微酸

看来我们这些买不起房子的人是永远买到的了.房子是心里永远底痛.

不用担心，你买不起的可能只是现在喀城的房子。
我刚来的时候之所以选喀城是因为这里物价便宜，房子便宜，其实都知道这里找工也不容易不如多伦多。没想到喀城的潜力还是不错的，这就像选股票，哪天你也会选到自己的蓝筹股的。每个人的机遇是不同的。。。

Calgary9981 · May 16th, 2006, 00:19

引用:

作者: premakov

1400SF 要价345K. 加上 upgrade 和 deck 就奔360k 了，简直 ridiculous
这种价格绝对不能买了。

Yes, that is crazy price. My friend just got a new house with 2400 sf. The price is 369k which include hardwood around most main flood. They just got it on April 28.

君子兰 · May 16th, 2006, 00:23

引用:

作者: 李大哥

老弟你可别逗了！

EXCEL是专门建低价房的，它的房价可以说是比较低的了。但现在最便宜的，不带车库的小房子，也要30万。一般都要做点upgrade，怎么也得再加一万。至少31万。但是，这个价你买得到吗？根本就无法和开发商签合同，没地。只能等，可是，现在每个月涨2万，你等到什么时候？只好逼着你去买二...

请问李大哥，假如现在有地的话，建个1500尺的没有车库的房子，EXCEL要多少钱呢？

红樱桃，绿芭蕉 · May 16th, 2006, 00:30

One of my friend bought a house at Arbour lake area about weeks ago. I don't know the exact price but she told me it was close to 400k. She put 15k as deposit already.

Now she is thinking to give it up because although monthly expense is affordable to her right now. It is scary when either her or her husband lose the job in the futher, which is very possible at here.

She told me she decided to either sell it (if the total loss for her is less than 15k) or give the deposit up.

I don't know whether it is a sign of the Estate market right now, but it is a real burden for most people to afford a house. (including high downpay and monthly mortgage)

What I can do is to leave this hot city. Espcially no one in my home is doing a job related to oil field.

May 15th, 2006, 21:24	只看该作者 #21
regin 无常注册日期: Jul 2004 住址: Calgary 帖子: 309	一刀故事，那一刀是要接卖方的贷款，不是真正所谓的一刀。
regin 无常注册日期: Jul 2004 住址: Calgary 帖子: 309	Rejoicing in Hope Patience in Tribulation

May 15th, 2006, 21:47	只看该作者 #22
Calgary9981 Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 37 声望: 105	It will stop when Calgary house price is same as Vancouver's.
Calgary9981 Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 37 声望: 105

May 15th, 2006, 22:17	只看该作者 #24
little me Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 948 声望: 5164	[QUOTE=糖不苦]前段时间论坛一面倒地谈房价上升，最近开始有降价的声音了... QUOTE] good analysis! add $100
little me Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 948 声望: 5164

May 15th, 2006, 22:23	只看该作者 #25
Winged Frank 桀骜不驯小小鸟注册日期: Oct 2005 住址: 卡二他家里帖子: 2,041 精华:4 声望: 2386668	这里有一大批房地产经济靠这个吃饭呢，你说在这里能讨论出个什么结果？
	卡城空城派空头司令 http://www.chinasmile.net/gallery/al...%8A%A8%7E0.jpg

May 15th, 2006, 22:30	只看该作者 #26
卡城浪人 Senior Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 286 声望: 893606	大家看,买卡城哪里区的房子更有升值潜力.
卡城浪人 Senior Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 286 声望: 893606

May 15th, 2006, 22:35	只看该作者 #27
Calgary9981 Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 37 声望: 105	Anywhere the price will go up. But some area you can't buy it. The price is so high now.
Calgary9981 Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 37 声望: 105

May 15th, 2006, 22:39	只看该作者 #28
Calgary9981 Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 37 声望: 105	You can take a look on last Saturday Calgry Herald. The house market told you what price on each area.
Calgary9981 Member 注册日期: May 2006 帖子: 37 声望: 105

May 15th, 2006, 23:24	只看该作者 #30
糖微酸 Senior Member 注册日期: Dec 2005 帖子: 167 声望: 124	看来我们这些买不起房子的人是永远买到的了.房子是心里永远底痛.
糖微酸 Senior Member 注册日期: Dec 2005 帖子: 167 声望: 124

May 15th, 2006, 23:40	只看该作者 #33
alf Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 1,526 积分:1 精华:1 声望: 416420	花上三十来万能建个不错的新house，我就觉得不对头的是现在有的近30年的也不大还要交管理费的townhouse也敢要价28，9万，这能长久吗。

May 16th, 2006, 00:30	只看该作者 #40
红樱桃，绿芭蕉不愿流光把人抛注册日期: Jan 2005 帖子: 28,439 积分:143 精华:46 声望: 119305395	One of my friend bought a house at Arbour lake area about weeks ago. I don't know the exact price but she told me it was close to 400k. She put 15k as deposit already. Now she is thinking to give it up because although monthly expense is affordable to her right now. It is scary when either her or her husband lose the job in the futher, which is very possible at here. She told me she decided to either sell it (if the total loss for her is less than 15k) or give the deposit up. I don't know whether it is a sign of the Estate market right now, but it is a real burden for most people to afford a house. (including high downpay and monthly mortgage) What I can do is to leave this hot city. Espcially no one in my home is doing a job related to oil field.
	人到万难须放胆，事当两可要平心