Oct 19th, 2008, 12:06 | 只看该作者 #49 |
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目前一桶轻油的成本是20到30刀,一桶重油和油砂的成本是40到50刀,这些数据是老板给我说的,有待考证,如有错漏,各有网友轻些砸。 目前的形势是,有些重油和油砂项目,未上马的,资金没到位的,已经停了;资金已经到位的,继续作。基本上持观望态度吧。怎么也得等个半年,等形式明朗了,目前这种政治,金融危机凑到一起,很难判断的。 如果油价持续降,降到油公司基本没有利润了,那会大规模关井,更别说打新井,上新项目了。 油公司的员工都难保啊,if that is the case. |
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Oct 19th, 2008, 13:56 | 只看该作者 #50 | |
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引用:
http://www.oilnews.com.cn/gb/misc/20...ntent_3878.htm http://news.yonghua.net.cn/htmldata/..._158076_1.html 2000年油价曾经涨到大约$39/B。 http://inflationdata.com/inflation/i...ices_Chart.asp 附:2000年油价暴涨警示中国 http://qkzz.net/Announce/announce.as...1400&ID=158292 如果当时朱镕基真的开始搞石油战略储备,那是何等的英明! 油价可能会在$50刀探底,卡城有救了,大家继续来华枫爽吧! 此帖于 Oct 19th, 2008 18:38 被 天南地北山东人 编辑。 原因: 拷贝时丢了个P |
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最最鄙视看不起农民的人!
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Oct 19th, 2008, 15:32 | 只看该作者 #51 |
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补充一点
实际上,对ALBERTA 经济影响的另一个重要因素是天然气价格. 虽然我们(无论政府还是大公司)从高油价中获得巨额利润和盈余, 但不要忘了, 阿省许多的钻井数是气井.尤其是SHALLOW GAS, CBM.有许多人是在这一块就业的. 我们2005-2006年的BOOM 就是由于气价的上扬. 过去几年气价并没有那样发疯,除了几个 $14左右的尖峰, 但每次高峰之后基本上都将基线上升一点. 今年五月的 $12 之后, 目前在$8左右. 这也是我去年贴子的结尾部分,虽然预计油价下调,但对ALBERTA 并没有那样悲观的原因. 如果真要到$30, 气价也跳水, 也死不了,大家都去割麦子吧. |
革命的是润土, 呐喊的是阿Q. |
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Oct 19th, 2008, 18:36 | 只看该作者 #53 | |
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2005年天然气价格飞涨之时正是卡城房价攀升之日,2005年末天然气价格冲到14的时候,油价才60左右. 现在天然气价格是7,油价70多。现在的油价还是比房价攀升最快的时候高啊!但气价却低很多,所以房市才一蹶不振呐。 “扰油啼”对阿省油气钻探业影响很大,今年阿省进尺与去年大体相当,仍属于2000年以来的低水平,但BC,SK两省进尺不仅远高于去年,而且目前均高于2006年。阿省仍然还是加西盆地的主战场。 天然气供应地域性很强, 这两年钻的井少,正是为以后多钻提够了机会,钻井量与工程公司的业务成正比吧?所以大家前景还是不错滴。 我参合了100多口井,90%是在W5-W6-NE BC一带的气井,其余是W4-W3(SK)的油和浅部气。 只要气价能冲上去,卡城不会太惨。 |
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Oct 19th, 2008, 19:31 | 只看该作者 #54 | |
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气受地域,用户及用途的限制,是个比较稳定的行业. 目前阿省已经开采用掉近半的探明储量(实际储量大概是探明储量的6倍),快要进入老年期;而育空拥有未开采的大量气资源,迟早要有1波"育空"大开发浪潮.整体上加国气资源并不多,比起加上油砂的油资源排名低的多(而开采比例要大的多). 要炒作气,恐怕在阿省底气不足. |
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Oct 19th, 2008, 20:24 | 只看该作者 #55 | |
丐帮帮主兼董事长
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而且随着卡城房事的萎靡,天然气工业更会雪上加霜。 |
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叔身在江湖,江湖却没有关于叔的传说。究其原因,不外乎:人在江湖飘,谁能不挨刀? 因此,夹着尾巴做人,才叫侠!!!低调!才是最牛B的炫耀!!! |
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Oct 20th, 2008, 15:41 | 只看该作者 #60 |
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Nexen, Opti delay decision on next oil sands phase Nexen Inc and Opti Canada Inc have postponed a decision to expand their new Long Lake, Alta., oil sands project, citing the financial market crisis and uncertainty over costs to curb carbon emissions, a Nexen official said on Monday. The partners in the $6.1-billion development, which is now in start-up mode, had expected to decide by the end of this year whether to begin work on twinning the project. "There's no new clarity on climate change at all and we also had the meltdown in the market," Nexen spokesman Michael Harris said. "Now we're thinking maybe we should take a long hard look at something like this before we put it in front of the board." Skidding oil prices and the credit crisis have sent share prices of oil sands developers like Nexen and Opti tumbling and raised questions over the viability of major projects across the industry. Meanwhile, Canadian energy companies have signalled that they expect to rein in spending as they set budgets for 2009, with the emphasis on operating within their cash flow. Mr. Harris said the Long Lake expansion may now face a go-ahead decision next year. Shares in Nexen, Canada's No. 4 independent oil explorer, were up $1.11, or 7%, at $17.31 on the Toronto Stock Exchange. However, they are down by more than half since the end of June. Opti was up 50 cents, or 9% at $6.08. It is down 74% over the same period. |
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