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旧 Jun 14th, 2010, 14:49     #1
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默认 本年度最热门的IPO明日上市

June 14, 2010 12:23 PM EDT
Investors are gearing up for tomorrow's hot IPO for leading options exchange CBOE Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: CBOE).

The company and investors are looking to sell 11,700,000 shares at an expected price range of $27 - $29. A pricing at the top end of the range would make the deal size about $340 million, or $390 million if the over-allotment is exercised by the underwriters.

Following the offering there will be 102,565,517 total shares outstanding, including all classes. This would imply a market valuation of nearly $3 billion, assuming the IPO goes off at or near the high end of the expected range.

Goldman Sachs is leading the deal and will get help from BofA Merrill Lynch, Barclays Capital, Citadel Securities, Citi, J.P. Morgan, and UBS among a host of others. There are eighteen underwriters in total listed on the prospectus.

CBOE has seen solid growth. In the latest quarter ending March 31, 2010, the company posted operating revenues of $101.1 million and diluted earnings of $0.22 per shares. Revenues were up from $98.1 million while profits were down slightly from $0.24 per share.

In 2009, CBOE reported operating revenues of $426 million and diluted EPS of $1.04. This was versus $416.8 million and $1.12 in 2008 and $344.27 million and $0.81 in 2007.

Following the pricing, CBOE will be trading at a P/E ratio of about 28. This compares to a P/E of 24 for CME Group Inc. (NYSE: CME) and 27 for IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE).

While the valuation metrics could keep pure valuation buyers away, certain investors may place a takeover premium on the stock. CBOE appears to be a prime takeover target for other exchanges. In fact, larger rival CME already made a run at CBOE before the IPO, according to reports.

Given the possible takeover premium, don't be surprised for shares to trade at a P/E north of 30 which could get the stock to $31 or above.
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旧 Jun 14th, 2010, 14:56   只看该作者   #2
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默认

CBOE的投资价值分析:

1)股本结构
2)价值中枢
3)潜在收购

太长篇了,懒的写了
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旧 Jun 14th, 2010, 16:30   只看该作者   #3
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默认

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CBOE的投资价值分析:

1)股本结构
2)价值中枢
3)潜在收购

太长篇了,懒的写了
那就将结论告诉俺们。。。什么时候下手喊一声啊。。。俺们好 SET UP


要贪婪、贪婪再贪婪。恐惧、恐惧再恐惧。滑头、滑头再滑头。该割肉时就割肉,该出手时就出手。一颗散户心,二手牛熊仓。
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 01:28   只看该作者   #4
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June 14, 2010 12:23 PM EDT
Investors are gearing up for tomorrow's hot IPO for leading options exchange CBOE Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: CBOE).

The c...
老姚有见解
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 07:55   只看该作者   #5
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默认

Is CBOE’s Price Too High?
June 15, 2010, 6:29 am
CBOE Holdings said Monday that it had priced its initial public offering at $29 per share, in what is the the most anticipated U.S. I.P.O. so far this year.

The I.P.O. of 11.7 million shares could potentially raise $339.3 million for the company.

But worries about its high price compared to other exchanges could weigh on its shares when it begins trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market on Tuesday, The Associated Press writes.

CBOE is selling approximately 9.6 million shares of the stock, while about 2.1 million are being sold by certain existing shareholders. CBOE will not receive proceeds from the sale by selling shareholders.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange is the country’s largest options exchange and the last major U.S. exchange to go public. The initial public offerings, earlier this decade, of other exchanges logged impressive returns and CBOE has a well-known brand, said Scott Sweet, head I.P.O. researcher of IPO Boutique.

But, Mr. Sweet continued, ”the I.P.O. market is horrid. Had this come out in a better time, it would probably be looking at a ‘moon shot’ premium,” — like the 23 percent gain during rival CME Group’s first day of trading in December 2002. Despite a big drop during the recession, CME’s shares are still about 800 percent above their I.P.O. price of $35.

With a market that has grown increasingly wary of initial public offerings due to volatile stock markets and concerns about the global economic recovery, the success of past exchange I.P.O.’s may not be enough to tempt buyers without a cheap price. CBOE’s $29 per share price makes the exchange’s stock more expensive than those of CME and IntercontinentalExchange , according to an analysis by I.P.O. expert Francis Gaskins.

Some investors, however, are betting that CBOE will become a takeover target shortly after it goes, potentially reaping them a tidy gain, Bloomberg News’s David Pauly writes in a commentary. “That’s what happened after the frenzy of IPOs by exchanges that started with CME Group’s offering in 2002,” Mr. Pauly notes.

While there is big demand for shares of CBOE across the globe, not just in the U.S., the I.P.O.’s price, which Mr. Gaskins thinks is too high, may keep CBOE’s shares from soaring on its first day of trading.
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 09:45   只看该作者   #6
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默认

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那就将结论告诉俺们。。。什么时候下手喊一声啊。。。俺们好 SET UP
如果开盘低于40,是个不错的机会:DT为主,注意cut
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 09:49   只看该作者   #7
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默认

CBOE竟然以halted的形式开盘,是我这么多年来第一次看到IPO如此开盘:正常情况下是集合竞价的形式,但是现在因为halt,我们的单子都没有办法提交
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 10:03   只看该作者   #8
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Cool

很多著名公司的IPO因为关注度过高,引起广泛争抢.为了打击散户的争抢热情,试图成为长线庄家的多头主力,很可能用高开低走的阴招暂时套牢散户,连续打压再吸筹的玩法.
对CBOE的开盘后怎么玩,先观察一下,比较妥当.
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感谢 dlhy
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lauralau (Feb 25th, 2011)
旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 10:05   只看该作者   #9
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Wink

Sometimes,too hot to touch.
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 10:10   只看该作者   #10
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默认

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Sometimes,too hot to touch.
我本来想买开盘价的,现在一点办法也没有:也许像你说的,买不到开盘价是好事
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 10:16   只看该作者   #11
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Cool

或者是平开高走,过两天玩横盘洗筹,吸筹.比较典型的是著名酒店H,多头主力竟然用了四个月的时间进行区间震荡,就是不拉.等大部分散户视其为鸡肋而黯然离去的时候.主力开始稳步拉升,用了三个月的时间,从28.16拉到了43.88,H也成了近两年走势最好的IPO新股之一.
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感谢 dlhy
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lauralau (Feb 25th, 2011)
旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 10:30   只看该作者   #12
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Cool

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或者是平开高走,过两天玩横盘洗筹,吸筹.比较典型的是著名酒店H,多头主力竟然用了四个月的时间进行区间震荡,就是不拉.等大部分散户视其为鸡肋而黯然离去的时候.主力开始稳步拉升,用了三个月的时间,从28.16拉到了43.88,H也成了近两年走势最好的IPO新股之一.
如果我是试图控盘的的未来多头主力,我就可能这样布局:
1.高开很多,要让开盘冲进来的人,高兴而来,扫兴而走,留下一地鸡毛.当年bidu就这么玩的.
2.平开略高收,小幅拉升几天,就开始猛烈打压,如果不走就套住,逼着散户交出筹码.当年goog就这么阴人的.
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感谢 dlhy
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闲不着 (Jun 15th, 2010)
旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 10:44   只看该作者   #13
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Wink

完全可以肯定,此时此刻,在华尔街\或者芝加哥一些豪华办公室里,一群超级大鳄正在密切关注着市场反应,针对不同情况的A/B/C...应对计划,全部编成计算机程序,随时准备实施...
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:03   只看该作者   #14
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默认

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如果我是试图控盘的的未来多头主力,我就可能这样布局:
1.高开很多,要让开盘冲进来的人,高兴而来,扫兴而走,留下一地鸡毛.当年bidu就这么玩的.
2.平开略高收,小幅拉升几天,就开始猛烈打压,如果不走就套住,逼着散户交出筹码.当年goog就这么阴人的.
谢谢你以前的签名。那是我在华枫学到的最有用的东西。

中石油,也是典型的”最热门“的IPO走势。

为中华之崛起而炒股,为世界之和平而赚钱。
做人最重要的是不能让人骗了自己。
千万别碰垃圾股!千万别碰期权!
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感谢 闲不着
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dlhy (Jun 15th, 2010)
旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:09   只看该作者   #15
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dlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond reputedlhy has a reputation beyond repute
Wink

但是,CBOE绝对是只有远大前途的股票!
因为他代表的公司势力过于强大了,他背后有一系列的利益在纠缠着,公司权贵们的内部股权\奖金...还有CBOE先天性的强大操盘\操纵实力,CBOE不得不成为未来的大牛股....
只要不是高开大的太离谱,从长远看,在超级多头主力吸足筹码,并进行有效的洗盘后,肯定选择一个合适的理由,开始拉升造富之旅...
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:12   只看该作者   #16
flyguy
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flyguy will become famous soon enough
Red face

那你进了没有?
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:12   只看该作者   #17
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Wink

引用:
作者: 闲不着 查看帖子
谢谢你以前的签名。那是我在华枫学到的最有用的东西。

中石油,也是典型的”最热门“的IPO走势。
站在主力的角度去思考和分析问题,学习庄家,研究庄家,与庄家共进退,让庄家买单,哈哈.
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:30   只看该作者   #18
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默认

哪个啥,因为是新股,没有什么TA。所以各位也给个基本价位。。。俺们观察一段时间,几天?几周?也好 SET UP 啦。。。
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:33   只看该作者   #19
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默认

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作者: liszt 查看帖子
CBOE的投资价值分析:

1)股本结构
2)价值中枢
3)潜在收购

太长篇了,懒的写了


mark.
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旧 Jun 15th, 2010, 11:45   只看该作者   #20
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默认 有一点我就是想不通

新股IPO时绝大部分股都在那个承销商手里.它直接往上搞不就行了吗?就算是有几个承销商,它们合作一下不就成了吗?
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